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Auckland United W vs Western Springs W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Vosper S.

AI Match Summary

Auckland United W in this National League Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auckland United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Auckland United W
17%
Draws
13%
Western Springs W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Auckland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Auckland United W have won more games recently than Western Springs W.
  • Win probability leans Auckland United W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular National League Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Auckland United W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 68%
Western Springs W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auckland United W Western Springs W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 26 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.88 3
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 National League Women
Western Springs W vs Auckland United W
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Western Springs W
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Western Springs W vs Auckland United W
0:1
Nov 11, 2023 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Western Springs W
1:0
Nov 18, 2022 National League Women
Western Springs W vs Auckland United W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auckland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vosper S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Western Springs W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auckland United W 77 / 100
Western Springs W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auckland United W Western Springs W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Auckland United W scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Western Springs W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Auckland United W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auckland United W VS Western Springs W
2.88 Goals Scored 3
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Auckland United W

(Home)
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2
Auckland United W
Page 1 of 7

Western Springs W

(Away)
04 Jul
Ellerslie W
2 : 1
Western Springs W
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7
Western Springs W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2
Western Springs W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2
Auckland United W
31 Oct
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 1
Western Springs W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W981021:425
2Waterside Karori W953118:818
3Eastern Suburbs W942324:914
4Western Springs W942322:1314
5West Coast Rangers W942320:1514
6Wellington United W934219:1113
7Canterbury United W941417:2013
8Southern United W932417:1211
9Wellington Phoenix 2 W91179:284
10Central Football W90093:500
Promotion - National League Women 2024 (Play Offs)