Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Audace Cerignola vs Casertana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Domenico Monterisi, Cerignola
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Cretella C.
61'
Sub
Pezzella S. In: Girelli S.
Out: Pezzella S.
61'
Sub
Mehic D. In: Martino P.
Out: Mehic D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Audace Cerignola
30%
Draws
41%
Casertana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Casertana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Casertana have won more games recently than Audace Cerignola.
  • Audace Cerignola are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 19%
Casertana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audace Cerignola Casertana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Casertana
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Audace Cerignola
4:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Casertana
1:1
Feb 10, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casertana vs Audace Cerignola
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Casertana
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audace Cerignola 36 / 100
Casertana 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audace Cerignola Casertana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Audace Cerignola scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Casertana let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Audace Cerignola went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Audace Cerignola VS Casertana
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Audace Cerignola

(Home)
10 Oct
Crotone
2 : 3
Audace Cerignola
04 Oct
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Altamura
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6

Casertana

(Away)
10 Oct
Casertana
3 : 1
Monopoli
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0
Casertana
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2
Catania
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0
Altamura
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 9 7 1 1 24:12 22
2 Bari 9 6 1 2 13:6 19
3 Sorrento 9 6 0 3 14:10 18
4 Catania 9 5 1 3 17:10 16
5 Casertana 9 4 3 2 15:13 15
6 Audace Cerignola 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 Scafatese 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
8 Salernitana 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
9 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
10 Monopoli 9 3 3 3 7:7 12
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Foggia 9 3 2 4 9:10 11
13 Casarano 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
14 Inter U23 7 3 1 3 12:13 10
15 A.C. Savoia 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
16 Altamura 9 2 2 5 4:13 8
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 8 2 1 5 12:18 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 9 1 3 5 10:15 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)