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Stadium Background

Audace Cerignola vs Trapani

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Domenico Monterisi, Cerignola
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ruggiero Z.
30' Event
Gambale D.
39' Event
Paolucci L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Audace Cerignola and Trapani finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Audace Cerignola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Audace Cerignola
44%
Draws
20%
Trapani
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Trapani haven't matched Audace Cerignola's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 15%
Trapani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audace Cerignola Trapani
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Trapani
4:2
Oct 26, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Audace Cerignola
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Trapani
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Trapani vs Audace Cerignola
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Audace Cerignola Compare

Top Goalscorer Gambale D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ruggiero Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Trapani Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audace Cerignola 35 / 100
Trapani 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audace Cerignola Trapani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Audace Cerignola found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Trapani conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Audace Cerignola stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Audace Cerignola VS Trapani
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Audace Cerignola

(Home)
03 May
Crotone
1 : 1
Audace Cerignola
26 Apr
Benevento
2 : 2
Audace Cerignola
19 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1
Altamura
12 Apr
Casertana
4 : 1
Audace Cerignola
06 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1
Latina
Page 1 of 7

Trapani

(Away)
26 Apr
Trapani
2 : 2
Siracusa
19 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Trapani
12 Apr
Trapani
1 : 2
Salernitana
04 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 1
Trapani
29 Mar
Foggia
1 : 0
Trapani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)