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Audax Sao Mateus vs CTE Colatina

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Audax Sao Mateus host CTE Colatina in the Capixaba 2. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Audax Sao Mateus at 0.25 goals for, 1.63 against; CTE Colatina at 1.63 for, 4.63 against. Head-to-head, Audax Sao Mateus have won 3 to CTE Colatina's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 2-1. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 1.63) point toward Audax Sao Mateus. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Audax Sao Mateus
6%
Draws
4%
CTE Colatina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Audax Sao Mateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CTE Colatina's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Audax Sao Mateus have produced (0.25).
  • Audax Sao Mateus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Capixaba 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Audax Sao Mateus Clean Sheet 14%
CTE Colatina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audax Sao Mateus CTE Colatina
Matches Played 8 28
Wins 1 1
Draws 1 2
Losses 6 25
Goals Scored 0.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 4.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 4.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Capixaba 2
Audax Sao Mateus vs CTE Colatina
2-1
Apr 12, 2025 Capixaba 2
CTE Colatina vs Audax Sao Mateus
2-1
Mar 12, 2025 Capixaba 2
Audax Sao Mateus vs CTE Colatina
1-2
Feb 12, 2025 Capixaba 2
CTE Colatina vs Audax Sao Mateus
0-1
Jan 12, 2025 Capixaba 2
Audax Sao Mateus vs CTE Colatina
1-0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audax Sao Mateus 84 / 100
CTE Colatina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audax Sao Mateus CTE Colatina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CTE Colatina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 28 matches.

Away concern: CTE Colatina has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Audax Sao Mateus found the back of the net in 25% of recent matches (8 games).

Scoring Trends

Audax Sao Mateus VS CTE Colatina
0.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 4.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doze Futebol Clube11003:03
2Linhares Futebol Clube11002:03
3GEL00000:00
4Audax Sao Mateus10010:20
5CTE Colatina10010:30
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estrela do Norte11002:03
2Tupy11001:03
3Sport-ES00000:00
4Pinheiros10010:10
5Rive10010:20