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Audax-SP vs Capivariano Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Capivariano in this Paulista A3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Capivariano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Audax-SP
15%
Draws
51%
Capivariano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capivariano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Capivariano have won more games recently than Audax-SP.
  • Model gives Audax-SP a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Audax-SP Clean Sheet 20%
Capivariano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audax-SP Capivariano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.47 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2023 Paulista A3
Audax-SP vs Capivariano
0:2
Feb 2, 2019 Paulista A3
Audax-SP vs Capivariano
2:2
Mar 25, 2015 Paulista
Audax-SP vs Capivariano
3:0
Mar 13, 2013 Paulista A2
Capivariano vs Audax-SP
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audax-SP 85 / 100
Capivariano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audax-SP Capivariano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Audax-SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Audax-SP's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Capivariano lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Capivariano has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Audax-SP VS Capivariano
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Audax-SP

(Home)
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
28 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 0
Flamengo SP
20 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
14 Jun
Paulinense
1 : 0
Audax-SP
07 Jun
Audax-SP
2 : 0
Votoraty SP
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Capivariano

(Away)
21 Feb
Palmeiras
4 : 0
Capivariano
15 Feb
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Capivariano
08 Feb
Capivariano
1 : 0
Mirassol
05 Feb
Corinthians
3 : 0
Capivariano
25 Jan
Capivariano
1 : 2
Primavera EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 15 9 2 4 25:15 29
2 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 13:12 27
3 Capivariano 15 7 6 2 28:11 27
4 Gremio Prudente 15 7 3 5 21:16 24
5 Desportivo 15 7 3 5 14:9 24
6 EC Sao Bernardo 15 7 1 7 17:16 22
7 Uniao Suzano 15 6 3 6 21:18 21
8 Matonense 15 6 2 7 21:18 20
9 Bandeirante 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Red Bull Brasil 15 5 4 6 24:23 19
11 Rio Preto EC 15 5 4 6 15:21 19
12 Itapirense 15 4 7 4 11:17 19
13 Votuporanguense 15 4 5 6 14:19 17
14 Sertaozinho 15 5 1 9 15:26 16
15 Barretos EC 15 4 4 7 18:29 16
16 Audax-SP 15 3 3 9 8:19 12
Promotion - Paulista A3 2023 (Second stage)