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Audax-SP vs Sao Jose EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Jose EC in this Paulista A3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Jose EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Audax-SP
35%
Draws
45%
Sao Jose EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sao Jose EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Jose EC have won more games recently than Audax-SP.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Audax-SP Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Jose EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Audax-SP Sao Jose EC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Paulista A3
Audax-SP vs Sao Jose EC
1:2
Mar 31, 2013 Paulista A2
Audax-SP vs Sao Jose EC
5:0
Feb 29, 2012 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Audax-SP
3:0
Mar 19, 2011 Paulista A2
Sao Jose EC vs Audax-SP
0:1
Feb 5, 2011 Paulista A2
Audax-SP vs Sao Jose EC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Audax-SP 36 / 100
Sao Jose EC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Audax-SP Sao Jose EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Jose EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Audax-SP scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sao Jose EC conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Audax-SP went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Audax-SP VS Sao Jose EC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Audax-SP

(Home)
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
28 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 0
Flamengo SP
20 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
14 Jun
Paulinense
1 : 0
Audax-SP
07 Jun
Audax-SP
2 : 0
Votoraty SP
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Sao Jose EC

(Away)
27 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 1
Sao Jose EC
19 Sept
Sao Jose EC
3 : 0
Comercial
13 Sept
Comercial
0 : 0
Sao Jose EC
22 Aug
Sao Jose EC
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
15 Aug
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 3
Sao Jose EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 15 9 2 4 25:15 29
2 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 13:12 27
3 Capivariano 15 7 6 2 28:11 27
4 Gremio Prudente 15 7 3 5 21:16 24
5 Desportivo 15 7 3 5 14:9 24
6 EC Sao Bernardo 15 7 1 7 17:16 22
7 Uniao Suzano 15 6 3 6 21:18 21
8 Matonense 15 6 2 7 21:18 20
9 Bandeirante 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Red Bull Brasil 15 5 4 6 24:23 19
11 Rio Preto EC 15 5 4 6 15:21 19
12 Itapirense 15 4 7 4 11:17 19
13 Votuporanguense 15 4 5 6 14:19 17
14 Sertaozinho 15 5 1 9 15:26 16
15 Barretos EC 15 4 4 7 18:29 16
16 Audax-SP 15 3 3 9 8:19 12
Promotion - Paulista A3 2023 (Second stage)