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Stadium Background

Aue II vs Bernburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015
Aue II Logo

Aue II

4 - 0
FT
Bernburg Logo

Bernburg

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015 game between Aue II and Bernburg finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aue II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aue II
15%
Draws
0%
Bernburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aue II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Aue II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bernburg's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Aue II Clean Sheet 20%
Bernburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aue II Bernburg
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.32 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Aue II vs Bernburg
4:0
Aug 8, 2014 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bernburg vs Aue II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aue II 28 / 100
Bernburg 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aue II Bernburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bernburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bernburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 35 matches.

Difficult form: Bernburg registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aue II scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bernburg
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aue II

(Home)
14 Jun
Aue II
1 : 1
Schott Jena
07 Jun
Cottbus II
1 : 2
Aue II
29 May
Aue II
1 : 3
Sandersdorf
24 May
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
2 : 0
Aue II
16 May
Aue II
0 : 2
Chemnitzer II
Page 1 of 7

Bernburg

(Away)
07 Mar
Krieschow
8 : 0
Bernburg
29 Feb
Bernburg
1 : 2
Wacker Nordhausen II
22 Feb
Luckenwalde
6 : 0
Bernburg
14 Dec
Bernburg
4 : 5
Grimma
07 Dec
Bernburg
0 : 2
Halle
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB Leipzig II 30 23 3 4 82:21 72
2 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 30 20 6 4 71:20 66
3 Markranstadt 30 17 7 6 67:33 58
4 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 16 8 6 38:21 56
5 Erfurt II 30 15 5 10 46:35 50
6 Cottbus II 30 13 5 12 52:59 44
7 Halle 30 13 4 13 43:41 43
8 Aue II 30 10 10 10 37:43 40
9 Jena II 30 10 8 12 31:36 38
10 Dresden II 30 12 2 16 45:53 38
11 Chemnitzer II 30 9 9 12 42:43 36
12 Eisenach 30 10 5 15 39:71 35
13 Sandersdorf 30 8 6 16 37:52 30
14 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 5 8 17 28:60 23
15 Schott Jena 30 5 7 18 36:65 22
16 Bernburg 30 5 5 20 30:71 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Play Offs 2014/2015 (Promotion - Play Offs)