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Aue vs BFC Preussen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Skarlatidis S.
67' Event
Wagner P.
Own Goal
80' Event
Kamm W.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Aue and BFC Preussen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aue.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aue
30%
Draws
31%
BFC Preussen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aue

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aue come out ahead of BFC Preussen on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Aue Clean Sheet 15%
BFC Preussen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aue BFC Preussen
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.25 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Aue vs BFC Preussen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aue Compare

Top Goalscorer Skarlatidis S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamm W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

BFC Preussen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aue 31 / 100
BFC Preussen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aue BFC Preussen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aue's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

BFC Preussen let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Aue remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aue VS BFC Preussen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aue

(Home)
27 Sept
Aue
1 : 2
Chemie Leipzig
19 Sept
Erfurt
2 : 2
Aue
16 Sept
Magdeburg II
1 : 2
Aue
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2
Aue
Page 1 of 6

BFC Preussen

(Away)
26 Sept
Hallescher
3 : 2
BFC Preussen
19 Sept
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
BFC Preussen
4 : 1
Magdeburg II
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1
BFC Preussen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 BFC Dynamo 12 7 3 2 21:12 24
4 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
5 Altglienicke 12 6 3 3 20:15 21
6 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Zwickau 12 5 3 4 15:17 18
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
14 Chemie Leipzig 12 2 3 7 13:20 9
15 Hertha Berlin II 11 2 3 6 9:21 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 Luckenwalde 12 2 0 10 12:29 6
18 SV Tasmania Berlin 12 1 2 9 13:38 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)