Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aue vs BFC Preussen

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Skarlatidis S.
67' Event
Wagner P.
Own Goal
80' Event
Kamm W.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Aue and BFC Preussen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aue.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Aue
20%
Draws
15%
BFC Preussen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aue

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • BFC Preussen have managed 1.6 goals a game lately — Aue are scoring more at 2.22.
  • Aue are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Aue Clean Sheet 19%
BFC Preussen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aue BFC Preussen
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.22 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Aue vs BFC Preussen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aue Compare

Top Goalscorer Skarlatidis S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamm W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

BFC Preussen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aue 40 / 100
BFC Preussen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aue BFC Preussen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aue Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aue's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

BFC Preussen let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Aue remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aue VS BFC Preussen
3.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aue

(Home)
22 Aug
Aue
0 : 4
Hoffenheim
15 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1
Aue
09 Aug
Aue
2 : 1
BFC Preussen
06 Aug
Aue
3 : 2
BFC Dynamo
31 Jul
SV Tasmania Berlin
0 : 2
Aue
Page 1 of 6

BFC Preussen

(Away)
15 Aug
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
Greifswalder FC
09 Aug
Aue
2 : 1
BFC Preussen
05 Aug
BFC Preussen
1 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
31 Jul
Chemnitzer
3 : 0
BFC Preussen
25 Jul
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
Rsv Eintracht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 5 4 1 0 17:4 13
2 Chemnitzer 5 4 1 0 13:2 13
3 Altglienicke 5 3 2 0 13:8 11
4 Lokomotive Leipzig 5 3 1 1 12:9 10
5 Aue 5 3 1 1 11:9 10
6 Jena 5 3 0 2 8:4 9
7 Greifswalder FC 5 2 2 1 11:7 8
8 Magdeburg II 5 2 1 2 12:10 7
9 Zwickau 5 2 1 2 5:8 7
10 Hallescher 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
11 Rsv Eintracht 5 1 3 1 8:9 6
12 Babelsberg 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
13 BFC Dynamo 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
14 Hertha Berlin II 5 1 1 3 5:13 4
15 Luckenwalde 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 SV Tasmania Berlin 5 1 0 4 6:18 3
17 BFC Preussen 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
18 Chemie Leipzig 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)