Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aue vs Verl

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Erzgebirgsstadion, Aue
1 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Taz B.
Assist: Worner M.
46'
Barylla A.
51'
Sub
Otto Y. In: Stark J.
Out: Otto Y.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between Aue and Verl finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Aue
22%
Draws
60%
Verl
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Verl

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Verl carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Verl are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aue Clean Sheet 11%
Verl Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aue Verl
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 3 2.71
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 3. Liga
Aue vs Verl
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 3. Liga
Verl vs Aue
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 3. Liga
Verl vs Aue
5:1
Nov 30, 2024 3. Liga
Aue vs Verl
2:5
Apr 13, 2024 3. Liga
Verl vs Aue
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aue Compare

Top Goalscorer Weinhauer E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Verl Compare

Top Goalscorer Taz B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.46
Avg xA / game 1.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aue 18 / 100
Verl 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aue Verl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aue scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Aue went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Verl conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Aue VS Verl
3 Goals Scored 2.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Aue

(Home)
31 Jul
SV Tasmania Berlin
0 : 2
Aue
25 Jul
Aue
3 : 3
Altglienicke
19 Jul
Aue
2 : 4
Schalke
15 Jul
Zeitz
0 : 6
Aue
11 Jul
Aue
2 : 0
SK Kladno
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Verl

(Away)
26 Jul
Verl
6 : 1
Bremer
18 Jul
Wolfsburg
3 : 0
Verl
15 Jul
Paderborn II
0 : 1
Verl
11 Jul
Verl
9 : 0
VfB Schloss Holte 1919
16 May
Verl
3 : 0
Munich 1860
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1VfL Osnabruck38248666:3480
2Energie Cottbus38219872:5172
3RW Essen382010878:6670
4Duisburg381911866:4968
5Hansa Rostock381813774:4967
6Verl3818101082:4864
7Alemannia Aachen381971276:5764
8Munich 18603815111254:5356
9Wehen381581554:5253
10Mannheim381571659:7252
11FC Viktoria Koln381561751:5351
12Ingolstadt3813101565:5649
13Regensburg381471754:5849
14VfB Stuttgart II381371857:6946
15Saarbrucken3810141451:5744
16Hoffenheim II381271965:7143
17TSV Havelse38982157:8935
18Aue387131851:7034
19Ulm38962349:7833
201. FC Schweinfurt38562738:8721
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)