Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Auerbach vs Bautzen

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Auerbach Logo

Auerbach

4 - 2
FT
Bautzen Logo

Bautzen

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Auerbach in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auerbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Auerbach
30%
Draws
16%
Bautzen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Auerbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auerbach lately — more wins on the board than Bautzen.
  • Auerbach are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Auerbach have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Auerbach Clean Sheet 13%
Bautzen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auerbach Bautzen
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.76 1.65
Goals Conceded 1 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Auerbach
0:3
May 30, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Bautzen
4:2
Dec 5, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Auerbach
3:1
Apr 6, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Bautzen vs Auerbach
0:3
Oct 5, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Bautzen
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auerbach 84 / 100
Bautzen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auerbach Bautzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auerbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Auerbach scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Bautzen conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

Auerbach went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auerbach VS Bautzen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Auerbach

(Home)
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Auerbach
1 : 0
Plauen
09 Aug
Halle
2 : 1
Auerbach
04 Jul
Auerbach
1 : 2
Bayreuth
Page 1 of 6

Bautzen

(Away)
12 Sept
Einheit Wernigerode
2 : 2
Bautzen
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 0
Bautzen
09 Aug
Bautzen
2 : 5
Eilenburg
03 Jul
Bautzen
0 : 14
Dresden
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rsv Eintracht 30 20 8 2 61:29 68
2 Freital 30 19 2 9 57:28 59
3 Plauen 30 18 5 7 52:28 59
4 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 51:37 51
5 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 49:44 48
6 Halle 30 13 7 10 68:45 46
7 Bautzen 30 12 9 9 57:46 45
8 Krieschow 30 12 7 11 48:42 43
9 Glauchau 30 11 7 12 46:52 40
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 9 11 40:41 39
11 Einheit Wernigerode 30 9 6 15 41:58 33
12 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 9 6 15 39:60 33
13 Stendal 30 8 6 16 41:59 30
14 Grimma 30 8 4 18 47:73 28
15 Bischofswerdaer 30 6 7 17 36:61 25
16 Heiligenstadt 30 4 8 18 33:63 20
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