Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Auerbach vs Heiligenstadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Auerbach in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auerbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Auerbach
39%
Draws
31%
Heiligenstadt
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Auerbach have won more games recently than Heiligenstadt.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Auerbach Clean Sheet 20%
Heiligenstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auerbach Heiligenstadt
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Heiligenstadt
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Heiligenstadt vs Auerbach
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auerbach 31 / 100
Heiligenstadt 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auerbach Heiligenstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auerbach scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Heiligenstadt conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Heiligenstadt has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auerbach VS Heiligenstadt
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Auerbach

(Home)
04 Jul
Auerbach
1 : 2
Bayreuth
30 May
Auerbach
4 : 2
Bautzen
17 May
Freital
2 : 0
Auerbach
09 May
Auerbach
1 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
02 May
Plauen
3 : 1
Auerbach
Page 1 of 6

Heiligenstadt

(Away)
30 May
Heiligenstadt
4 : 3
Einheit Wernigerode
17 May
Halle
2 : 2
Heiligenstadt
10 May
Glauchau
1 : 0
Heiligenstadt
03 May
Heiligenstadt
2 : 3
Bautzen
26 Apr
Stendal
2 : 0
Heiligenstadt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rsv Eintracht30208261:2968
2Freital30192957:2859
3Plauen30185752:2859
4Auerbach30149751:3751
5Halberstadt301461049:4448
6Halle301371068:4546
7Bautzen30129957:4645
8Krieschow301271148:4243
9Glauchau301171246:5240
10Sandersdorf301091140:4139
11Einheit Wernigerode30961541:5833
12Einheit Rudolstadt30961539:6033
13Stendal30861641:5930
14Grimma30841847:7328
15Bischofswerdaer30671736:6125
16Heiligenstadt30481833:6320
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