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Auerbach vs RB Leipzig II Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Wild D.
17' Event
Palacios-Martinez F.
51' Event
Mauer T.

AI Match Summary

Auerbach in this Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auerbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Auerbach
30%
Draws
27%
RB Leipzig II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Auerbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • RB Leipzig II haven't matched Auerbach's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Auerbach a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Auerbach Clean Sheet 20%
RB Leipzig II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auerbach RB Leipzig II
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.88 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2017 Regionalliga Nordost
Auerbach vs RB Leipzig II
4:3
Oct 28, 2016 Regionalliga Nordost
RB Leipzig II vs Auerbach
2:0
Mar 19, 2016 Regionalliga Nordost
Auerbach vs RB Leipzig II
0:1
Sep 20, 2015 Regionalliga Nordost
RB Leipzig II vs Auerbach
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auerbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Wild D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zimmermann M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

RB Leipzig II Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios-Martinez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mauer T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auerbach 85 / 100
RB Leipzig II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auerbach RB Leipzig II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auerbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Auerbach scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

RB Leipzig II has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Auerbach has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Auerbach VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Auerbach

(Home)
25 Sept
Auerbach
3 : 2
Eilenburg
19 Sept
Freital
2 : 2
Auerbach
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Auerbach
1 : 0
Plauen
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RB Leipzig II

(Away)
03 Feb
Southampton U21
0 : 3
RB Leipzig II
20 Jan
Everton U21
5 : 1
RB Leipzig II
14 Jan
Manchester City U21
3 : 1
RB Leipzig II
29 Sept
Wolves U21
1 : 1
RB Leipzig II
17 Jan
Crystal Palace U21
1 : 2
RB Leipzig II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jena 34 23 6 5 68:25 75
2 Energie Cottbus 34 19 9 6 58:26 66
3 RB Leipzig II 34 17 9 8 67:42 60
4 Viktoria Berlin 34 15 11 8 63:47 56
5 Babelsberg 34 16 7 11 55:42 55
6 Berliner AK 07 34 16 7 11 54:42 55
7 Wacker Nordhausen 34 14 9 11 47:47 51
8 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 34 13 9 12 41:33 48
9 Hertha Berlin II 34 12 12 10 46:48 48
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 13 8 13 53:49 47
11 Schonberg 34 13 8 13 53:60 47
12 Auerbach 34 11 12 11 47:50 45
13 Furstenwalde 34 12 9 13 49:59 45
14 Meuselwitz 34 11 11 12 37:36 44
15 BFC Dynamo 34 12 8 14 51:54 44
16 Luckenwalde 34 5 9 20 35:75 24
17 Bautzen 34 3 9 22 29:68 18
18 TSG Neustrelitz 34 2 5 27 30:80 11
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2016/2017 (Play Offs)