Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Auersmacher vs Baumholder

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Foggy L.
Own Goal
40' Event
Laufer F.
59' Event
Escher M.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2023/2024 game between Auersmacher and Baumholder finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auersmacher.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Auersmacher
15%
Draws
26%
Baumholder
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auersmacher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Baumholder haven't matched Auersmacher's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Auersmacher's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Auersmacher Clean Sheet 17%
Baumholder Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auersmacher Baumholder
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 2.03 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Auersmacher vs Baumholder
3:0
Sep 2, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Baumholder vs Auersmacher
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auersmacher Compare

Top Goalscorer Laufer F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Escher M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Baumholder Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auersmacher 84 / 100
Baumholder 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auersmacher Baumholder

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auersmacher Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auersmacher scored in 85% of their last 39 games.

Defensive concern: Baumholder conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Auersmacher remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Auersmacher VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Auersmacher

(Home)
19 Sept
Auersmacher
5 : 4
Emmelshausen-Karbach
12 Sept
Schott Mainz
5 : 1
Auersmacher
09 Sept
Auersmacher
5 : 0
Eisbachtal
04 Sept
Diefflen
0 : 2
Auersmacher
29 Aug
Auersmacher
0 : 1
Mechtersheim
Page 1 of 8

Baumholder

(Away)
02 Jun
Cosmos Koblenz
1 : 2
Baumholder
18 May
Baumholder
1 : 3
Rot-Weiss Koblenz
10 May
Waldalgesheim
2 : 0
Baumholder
04 May
Baumholder
1 : 1
Engers
01 May
Mechtersheim
3 : 1
Baumholder
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Trier 38 32 3 3 115:34 99
2 Gonsenheim 38 24 6 8 96:48 78
3 Pirmasens 38 22 6 10 92:46 72
4 Kaiserslautern II 38 20 8 10 89:66 68
5 Worms 38 19 9 10 74:51 66
6 Rot-Weiss Koblenz 38 19 4 15 72:58 61
7 Auersmacher 38 19 4 15 64:65 61
8 Morlautern 38 16 10 12 65:68 58
9 Diefflen 38 17 4 17 77:82 55
10 Engers 38 15 9 14 78:65 54
11 Arminia Ludwigshafen 38 14 9 15 63:81 51
12 Karbach 38 16 3 19 70:93 51
13 Mechtersheim 38 12 12 14 67:58 48
14 Cosmos Koblenz 38 13 8 17 72:67 47
15 Waldalgesheim 38 11 11 16 43:62 44
16 Dudenhofen 38 11 9 18 59:66 42
17 Baumholder 38 9 8 21 56:83 35
18 SpVgg Quierschied 38 7 9 22 40:81 30
19 Pfeddersheim 38 9 3 26 46:102 30
20 Bitburg 38 5 5 28 49:111 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2023/2024 (Promotion)