Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Auersmacher vs Elversberg II

Germany Germany

Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lauer F.
80' Event
Rebmann J. L.
85'
Djonga Efambe W.

AI Match Summary

Auersmacher in this Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auersmacher.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Auersmacher
11%
Draws
9%
Elversberg II
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Auersmacher

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auersmacher lately — more wins on the board than Elversberg II.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Auersmacher taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Auersmacher Clean Sheet 17%
Elversberg II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Auersmacher Elversberg II
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Auersmacher vs Elversberg II
2:1
Oct 26, 2022 Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
Elversberg II vs Auersmacher
0:7
Feb 23, 2011 Oberliga Sudwest
Auersmacher vs Elversberg II
2:3
Aug 7, 2010 Oberliga Sudwest
Elversberg II vs Auersmacher
2:0
Dec 6, 2009 Oberliga Sudwest
Elversberg II vs Auersmacher
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Auersmacher Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauer F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rebmann J. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Elversberg II Compare

Top Goalscorer Pfeffler J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Auersmacher 75 / 100
Elversberg II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Auersmacher Elversberg II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auersmacher found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Elversberg II has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Elversberg II registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Auersmacher VS Elversberg II
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

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11Elversberg II20231519:599