Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Augnablik vs Arborg

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Barkarson B.
24' Event
Gunnarsson G.
40' Event
Jonsson H.

AI Match Summary

Augnablik in this Icelandic Cup 2019 tie, finishing 8-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Augnablik
15%
Draws
28%
Arborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Augnablik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Augnablik have won more games recently than Arborg.
  • Augnablik are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Augnablik have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Augnablik, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Augnablik have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Augnablik Clean Sheet 10%
Arborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augnablik Arborg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 0 1
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 3.63 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2025 Icelandic Cup
Arborg vs Augnablik
0:4
Jun 7, 2020 Icelandic Cup
Arborg vs Augnablik
1:0
Apr 13, 2019 Icelandic Cup
Augnablik vs Arborg
8:1
Apr 30, 2016 Icelandic Cup
Augnablik vs Arborg
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augnablik Compare

Top Goalscorer Barkarson B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jonsson H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Arborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudlaugsson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augnablik 40 / 100
Arborg 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augnablik Arborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Augnablik found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Arborg conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Arborg has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Augnablik VS Arborg
3 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Augnablik

(Home)
27 Mar
Selfoss
7 : 1
Augnablik
22 Mar
Augnablik
12 : 1
IBU
11 Apr
Augnablik
0 : 5
IR Reykjavik
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4
Augnablik
06 Aug
Augnablik
1 : 3
KFA
Page 1 of 6

Arborg

(Away)
22 Mar
Olafsvik
3 : 2
Arborg
28 Mar
Arborg
0 : 4
Augnablik
13 Apr
Arborg
1 : 2
Arbaer
06 Apr
Arborg
12 : 0
Reynir Hellissandur
19 Jul
Arborg
0 : 1
IH Hafnarfjordur
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Stjarnan 0
IR Reykjavik 5
SR Reykjavik 0
Skallagrimur 1
KV Reykjavik 4
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
TBD -
Sindri -
KA Asvellir 2
Kria 1
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Berserkir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Augnablik 8
Arborg 1
Bjorninn 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Vestri 1
Vidir 0
Hamar 1
Kari 5
Olafsvik -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 1
Ulfarnir 6
Afturelding 6
Lettir 0
Throttur Vogar 0
Selfoss 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 4
Nokkvi 2
TBD -
Magni -
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Einherji 1
Hottur / Huginn 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Throttur -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 1
Reynir 2
KB Breidholt 2
Snaefell 1
Fenrir 0
Aegir 2
Grotta 8
Alftanes 2
KH Hlidarendi 0
KFR 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Samherjar 0
Dalvik/Reynir 6
Midas 1
Isbjorninn 0
Alafoss 1
Ellidi 8
Tindastoll 5
Aeskan 0
TBD -
Volsungur -
Keflavik -
TBD -
KFS 2
Haukar 5
Vaengirs 9
Kongarnir 0
KM Reykjavik 0
Kordrengir 7
Fram 2
GG Grindavik 1
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Ymir 6
Hviti 5
Kormakur/Hvot 1
TBD -
Njardvik -
1/32-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
IR Reykjavik 3
KV Reykjavik 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Fjolnir 4
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Sindri 5
KA Asvellir 4
Berserkir 2
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Augnablik 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Vestri 3
Kari 1
Olafsvik 2
Ulfarnir 6
Afturelding 3
Selfoss 2
TBD -
Grindavik -
Breidablik -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 0
Magni 4
Fjardabyggd 2
Hottur / Huginn 0
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Throttur 2
Reynir 0
KB Breidholt 1
Aegir 2
Grotta 10
KFR 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri 2
Dalvik/Reynir 3
Midas 2
Ellidi 1
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 3
Keflavik 1
Haukar 0
Vaengirs 0
Kordrengir 1
Fram 6
Ymir 0
Hviti 0
Njardvik 6
1/16-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Stjarnan 0
IR Reykjavik 1
Fjolnir 3
KA Akureyri 5
Sindri 0
KA Asvellir 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Hafnarfjordur 2
Valur 1
Augnablik 0
Akranes 3
Vestri 2
Ulfarnir 1
Afturelding 1
Grindavik 4
Breidablik 10
Magni 1
Fjardabyggd 1
Kopavogur 5
Throttur 4
Aegir 0
Grotta 1
Fylkir 2
KR Reykjavik 5
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Midas 0
Volsungur 4
Keflavik 1
Kordrengir 0
Fram 1
Njardvik 3
1/8-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Fjolnir 0
KA Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Hafnarfjordur 2
Akranes 1
Vestri 1
Grindavik 3
Breidablik 3
Kopavogur 1
Throttur 1
Fylkir 3
KR Reykjavik 2
Volsungur 0
Keflavik 0
Njardvik 1
Quarter-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 7
Grindavik 1
Breidablik 4
Fylkir 2
KR Reykjavik 3
Njardvik 0
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Breidablik 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
KR Reykjavik 1
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 0