Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Augsburg vs Bochum

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal 2025/2026 WWK Arena, Augsburg
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Holtmann G.
Assist: Alfa-Ruprecht F.
46'
Sub
Rieder F. In: Komur M.
Out: Rieder F.
59'
Sub
Tietz P. In: Essende S.
Out: Tietz P.

AI Match Summary

Bochum in this DFB Pokal 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Augsburg
20%
Draws
40%
Bochum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Augsburg have won more games recently than Bochum.
  • Win probability leans Augsburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Augsburg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bochum, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Augsburg Clean Sheet 12%
Bochum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augsburg Bochum
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 12
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.79 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 DFB Pokal
Augsburg vs Bochum
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Bundesliga
Bochum vs Augsburg
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Bochum
1:0
Feb 3, 2024 Bundesliga
Bochum vs Augsburg
1:1
Sep 2, 2023 Bundesliga
Augsburg vs Bochum
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augsburg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Bochum Compare

Top Goalscorer Holtmann G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsburg 83 / 100
Bochum 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augsburg Bochum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Augsburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Augsburg's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bochum has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Augsburg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Augsburg VS Bochum
3.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Augsburg

(Home)
15 Aug
Leeds
4 : 0
Augsburg
08 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 2
Sassuolo
05 Aug
Schwaz
0 : 15
Augsburg
30 Jul
Augsburg
2 : 5
Bournemouth
25 Jul
Augsburg
1 : 1
Saarbrucken
Page 1 of 6

Bochum

(Away)
14 Aug
Braunschweig
0 : 1
Bochum
07 Aug
Bochum
0 : 1
Hertha Berlin
01 Aug
Bochum
0 : 0
Sheffield Utd
25 Jul
Werder Bremen
2 : 0
Bochum
21 Jul
Swansea
0 : 2
Bochum
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Engers 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 5
RW Essen 0
Dortmund 1
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Paderborn 3
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
Delmenhorst 2
B. Monchengladbach 3
Meuselwitz 0
Karlsruher 5
Eintracht Norderstedt 0
St. Pauli 1
Hansa Rostock 0
Hoffenheim 4
Gutersloh 0
Union Berlin 5
Arminia Bielefeld 1
Werder Bremen 0
Regensburg 1
1. FC Koln 2
Wehen 2
Bayern Munich 3
Energie Cottbus 1
Hannover 0
Sandhausen 2
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 4
Nurnberg 3
Saarbrucken 1
Magdeburg 3
Bahlinger 0
Heidenheim 5
Pirmasens 1
Hamburger 2
Hemelingen 0
Wolfsburg 9
FC 08 Homburg 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Hallescher 0
Augsburg 2
BFC Dynamo 1
Bochum 3
Dresden 0
Mainz 1
Braunschweig 4
VfB Stuttgart 5
Preussen Munster 0
Hertha Berlin 1
Ulm 0
Elversberg 1
Lohne 0
Greuther Furth 2
Rsv Eintracht 0
Kaiserslautern 7
1. FC Schweinfurt 2
Dusseldorf 4
Lotte 0
Freiburg 2
Lubeck 1
Darmstadt 2
Lokomotive Leipzig 0
Schalke 1
1/16-finals
Eintracht Frankfurt 1
Dortmund 2
Paderborn 2
Bayer Leverkusen 4
B. Monchengladbach 3
Karlsruher 1
St. Pauli 3
Hoffenheim 2
Union Berlin 2
Arminia Bielefeld 1
1. FC Koln 1
Bayern Munich 4
Energie Cottbus 1
RB Leipzig 4
Illertissen 0
Magdeburg 3
Heidenheim 0
Hamburger 1
Wolfsburg 0
Holstein Kiel 1
Augsburg 0
Bochum 1
Mainz 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 3
Elversberg 0
Greuther Furth 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 3
Darmstadt 4
Schalke 0
1/8-finals
Dortmund 0
Bayer Leverkusen 1
B. Monchengladbach 1
St. Pauli 2
Union Berlin 2
Bayern Munich 3
RB Leipzig 3
Magdeburg 1
Hamburger 1
Holstein Kiel 2
Bochum 0
VfB Stuttgart 2
Hertha Berlin 6
Kaiserslautern 1
Freiburg 2
Darmstadt 0
Quarter-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 3
St. Pauli 0
Bayern Munich 2
RB Leipzig 0
Holstein Kiel 0
VfB Stuttgart 3
Hertha Berlin 1
Freiburg 2
Semi-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 0
Bayern Munich 2
VfB Stuttgart 2
Freiburg 1
Final
Bayern Munich 3
VfB Stuttgart 0