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Augsburg vs Bournemouth

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Evanilson
64' Event
Toth A.
68' Event
Gannon-Doak B.

AI Match Summary

Bournemouth in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bournemouth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Augsburg
30%
Draws
43%
Bournemouth
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bournemouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Augsburg lately — more wins on the board than Bournemouth.
  • Bournemouth are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Augsburg Clean Sheet 10%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augsburg Bournemouth
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 15
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.86 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Club Friendly
Augsburg vs Bournemouth
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Schnitzer T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Bournemouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Evanilson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toth A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsburg 22 / 100
Bournemouth 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augsburg Bournemouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Augsburg scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Bournemouth conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Augsburg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Augsburg VS Bournemouth
3.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Augsburg

(Home)
08 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 2
Sassuolo
05 Aug
Schwaz
0 : 15
Augsburg
30 Jul
Augsburg
2 : 5
Bournemouth
25 Jul
Augsburg
1 : 1
Saarbrucken
16 May
Union Berlin
4 : 0
Augsburg
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Bournemouth

(Away)
08 Aug
Betis
2 : 2
Bournemouth
04 Aug
Bournemouth
10 : 1
Genoa
30 Jul
Augsburg
2 : 5
Bournemouth
24 Jul
Bournemouth
4 : 1
St. Pauli
24 May
Nottingham
1 : 1
Bournemouth
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