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Augsburg vs Crystal Palace

World World

Club Friendly 2025 HF-Stadion Bad Wimsbach, Bad Wimsbach-Neydharting
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Nketiah E. In: Esse R.
Out: Nketiah E.
61'
Sub
Mounie S. In: Essende S.
Out: Mounie S.
61'
Sub
Maier A. In: Breithaupt T.
Out: Maier A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Augsburg and Crystal Palace finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Augsburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Augsburg
15%
Draws
48%
Crystal Palace
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crystal Palace

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Crystal Palace carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Augsburg a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Augsburg Clean Sheet 12%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augsburg Crystal Palace
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.86 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.59 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Augsburg vs Crystal Palace
1:0
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Augsburg vs Crystal Palace
1:3
Aug 9, 2014 Club Friendly
Augsburg vs Crystal Palace
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Dardari A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.29

Crystal Palace Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsburg 83 / 100
Crystal Palace 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augsburg Crystal Palace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Augsburg's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Crystal Palace conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Augsburg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Augsburg VS Crystal Palace
3.43 Goals Scored 1.63
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.75
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 88%
71% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Augsburg

(Home)
08 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 2
Sassuolo
05 Aug
Schwaz
0 : 15
Augsburg
30 Jul
Augsburg
2 : 5
Bournemouth
25 Jul
Augsburg
1 : 1
Saarbrucken
16 May
Union Berlin
4 : 0
Augsburg
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Crystal Palace

(Away)
07 Aug
Fulham
1 : 2
Crystal Palace
31 Jul
Crystal Palace
3 : 1
Al-Ula
28 Jul
Famalicao
0 : 1
Crystal Palace
28 Jul
Crystal Palace
0 : 3
Lens
25 Jul
Bromley
3 : 0
Crystal Palace
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