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Augsburg vs Crystal Palace Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly 2025 HF-Stadion Bad Wimsbach, Bad Wimsbach-Neydharting
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Nketiah E. In: Esse R.
Out: Nketiah E.
61'
Sub
Mounie S. In: Essende S.
Out: Mounie S.
61'
Sub
Maier A. In: Breithaupt T.
Out: Maier A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Augsburg and Crystal Palace finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Augsburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Augsburg
20%
Draws
40%
Crystal Palace
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Augsburg's 2.14 goals per match outpaces what Crystal Palace have produced (1.47).
  • Model gives Augsburg a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Augsburg Clean Sheet 12%
Crystal Palace Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augsburg Crystal Palace
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.14 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Augsburg vs Crystal Palace
1:0
Aug 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Augsburg vs Crystal Palace
1:3
Aug 9, 2014 Club Friendly
Augsburg vs Crystal Palace
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Dardari A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Crystal Palace Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsburg 47 / 100
Crystal Palace 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augsburg Crystal Palace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Augsburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Augsburg's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Crystal Palace conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Augsburg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Augsburg VS Crystal Palace
3.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Augsburg

(Home)
19 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 2
Augsburg
12 Sept
Augsburg
2 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
06 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 4
Augsburg
30 Aug
Augsburg
3 : 0
Schalke
22 Aug
Energie Cottbus
0 : 2
Augsburg
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Crystal Palace

(Away)
20 Sept
Leeds
0 : 0
Crystal Palace
17 Sept
Crystal Palace
4 : 0
Lech Poznan
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3
Ipswich
08 Sept
Crystal Palace
3 : 0
Middlesbrough
05 Sept
Fulham
2 : 3
Crystal Palace
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