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Augsdaugavas vs Alberts JDFS

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Maksimovs K.
46'
Sub
Volosovs T. In: Petersons M.
Out: Volosovs T.
55' Event
Zegele M.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between Augsdaugavas and Alberts JDFS finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alberts JDFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Augsdaugavas
15%
Draws
76%
Alberts JDFS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Alberts JDFS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alberts JDFS's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Augsdaugavas Clean Sheet 10%
Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augsdaugavas Alberts JDFS
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 1. Liga
Augsdaugavas vs Alberts JDFS
0:2
Jul 5, 2025 1. Liga
Alberts JDFS vs Augsdaugavas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augsdaugavas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Alberts JDFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Zegele M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsdaugavas 10 / 100
Alberts JDFS 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augsdaugavas Alberts JDFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alberts JDFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alberts JDFS conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

Augsdaugavas found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Augsdaugavas has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alberts JDFS
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Augsdaugavas

(Home)
08 Nov
Riga FC 2
4 : 0
Augsdaugavas
01 Nov
Augsdaugavas
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
25 Oct
RFS 2
2 : 0
Augsdaugavas
18 Oct
Augsdaugavas
1 : 3
FK Smiltene
04 Oct
Riga Mariners
3 : 3
Augsdaugavas
Page 1 of 6

Alberts JDFS

(Away)
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2
FK Smiltene
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
RFS 2
1 : 3
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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