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Augsdaugavas vs Rezekne

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Galajs A.
46'
Sub
Shokun O. In: Kovalovs A.
Out: Shokun O.
50' Event
Aogaki S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between Augsdaugavas and Rezekne finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rezekne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Augsdaugavas
20%
Draws
40%
Rezekne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Rezekne carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Augsdaugavas Clean Sheet 20%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Augsdaugavas Rezekne
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 0.8 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.23 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 1. Liga
Augsdaugavas vs Rezekne
0:5
May 18, 2025 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Augsdaugavas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augsdaugavas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Aogaki S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Galajs A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsdaugavas 31 / 100
Rezekne 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Augsdaugavas Rezekne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Augsdaugavas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rezekne let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Rezekne registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Augsdaugavas scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rezekne
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Augsdaugavas

(Home)
08 Nov
Riga FC 2
4 : 0
Augsdaugavas
01 Nov
Augsdaugavas
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
25 Oct
RFS 2
2 : 0
Augsdaugavas
18 Oct
Augsdaugavas
1 : 3
FK Smiltene
04 Oct
Riga Mariners
3 : 3
Augsdaugavas
Page 1 of 6

Rezekne

(Away)
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
08 Aug
Skanste
5 : 1
Rezekne
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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