Sport Picks

Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025

Augsdaugavas

0 - 5

Rezekne

Our Tip

Match Events

Galajs A.

46'

Sub

Shokun O. In: Kovalovs A.

Out: Shokun O.

50'

Aogaki S.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between Augsdaugavas and Rezekne finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rezekne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Augsdaugavas

17%

Draws

70%

Rezekne

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Rezekne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Rezekne carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Rezekne a 70% chance of winning this.
Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Augsdaugavas Clean Sheet 10%

Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Augsdaugavas	Rezekne
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	4	7
Draws	5	6
Losses	21	17
Goals Scored	0	1
Goals Conceded	3	3.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Augsdaugavas vs Rezekne

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 2 - 4

0:5

May 18, 2025 Nakotnes liga

Rezekne vs Augsdaugavas

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Augsdaugavas Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Rezekne Compare

Top Goalscorer Aogaki S.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Galajs A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Augsdaugavas 14 / 100

Rezekne 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Augsdaugavas Rezekne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REZ Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rezekne let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Rezekne registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Augsdaugavas scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Augsdaugavas VS Rezekne

0 Goals Scored 1

3 Goals Conceded 3.5

100% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ogre United	26	18	4	4	66:20	58
2	Alberts JDFS	26	17	7	2	60:24	58
3	Riga Mariners	26	18	4	4	74:34	58
4	JFK Ventspils	26	11	10	5	40:29	43
5	RFS 2	26	11	8	7	46:31	41
6	Skanste	26	11	7	8	36:39	40
7	Leevon PPK	26	10	6	10	40:40	36
8	Marupe	26	10	2	14	30:33	32
9	Rezekne	26	8	7	11	36:57	31
10	FK Smiltene	26	8	4	14	46:48	28
11	Riga FC 2	26	6	6	14	35:43	24
12	Tukums 2000 2	26	7	2	17	37:60	23
13	AFA Olaine	26	6	4	16	39:88	22
14	Augsdaugavas	26	3	5	18	19:58	14