Sport Picks
Augsdaugavas vs Riga Mariners
Latvia
Nakotnes liga 2025 Ilūkstes pašvaldības stadions, Ilūkste 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Riga Mariners in this Nakotnes liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riga Mariners.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Riga Mariners lately — more wins on the board than Augsdaugavas.
- Riga Mariners are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Nakotnes liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Augsdaugavas | Riga Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 21 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 2.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Augsdaugavas Compare
Riga Mariners Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 6.00 goals.
Riga Mariners has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Augsdaugavas found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).
Augsdaugavas has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Augsdaugavas
(Home)Riga Mariners
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ogre United | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 66:20 | 58 |
| 2 | Alberts JDFS | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 60:24 | 58 |
| 3 | Riga Mariners | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 74:34 | 58 |
| 4 | JFK Ventspils | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40:29 | 43 |
| 5 | RFS 2 | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 46:31 | 41 |
| 6 | Skanste | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 36:39 | 40 |
| 7 | Leevon PPK | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40:40 | 36 |
| 8 | Marupe | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 30:33 | 32 |
| 9 | Rezekne | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 36:57 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Smiltene | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 46:48 | 28 |
| 11 | Riga FC 2 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 35:43 | 24 |
| 12 | Tukums 2000 2 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 37:60 | 23 |
| 13 | AFA Olaine | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 39:88 | 22 |
| 14 | Augsdaugavas | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:58 | 14 |
