Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aumund-Vegesack vs Brinkumer

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026 game between Aumund-Vegesack and Brinkumer finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brinkumer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aumund-Vegesack
15%
Draws
46%
Brinkumer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brinkumer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Brinkumer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Brinkumer taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Aumund-Vegesack Clean Sheet 20%
Brinkumer Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aumund-Vegesack Brinkumer
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 13 18
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 2.03 3.03
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs Brinkumer
1:3
Nov 29, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Brinkumer vs Aumund-Vegesack
4:0
May 11, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs Brinkumer
3:0
Nov 24, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Brinkumer vs Aumund-Vegesack
1:5
Apr 13, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Brinkumer vs Aumund-Vegesack
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aumund-Vegesack 12 / 100
Brinkumer 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aumund-Vegesack Brinkumer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brinkumer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Aumund-Vegesack scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Brinkumer conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Aumund-Vegesack has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aumund-Vegesack VS Brinkumer
2.38 Goals Scored 2
3.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Aumund-Vegesack

(Home)
12 Aug
Aumund-Vegesack
5 : 4
BTS Neustadt
07 Aug
Grohn
1 : 0
Aumund-Vegesack
15 May
Aumund-Vegesack
1 : 3
Brinkumer
10 May
Vatan Bremen
2 : 4
Aumund-Vegesack
06 May
Aumund-Vegesack
0 : 3
Blumenthaler
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Brinkumer

(Away)
11 Aug
Woltmershausen
0 : 10
Brinkumer
08 Aug
Brinkumer
0 : 4
Hemelingen
15 May
Aumund-Vegesack
1 : 3
Brinkumer
09 May
BTS Neustadt
3 : 1
Brinkumer
05 May
Union 60 Bremen
2 : 2
Brinkumer
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blumenthaler 30 24 3 3 95:35 75
2 Hemelingen 30 23 4 3 111:31 73
3 OSC Bremerhaven 30 20 4 6 86:40 64
4 Eiche Horn 30 20 2 8 69:37 62
5 Brinkumer 30 16 5 9 81:50 53
6 BTS Neustadt 30 16 2 12 86:73 50
7 Union 60 Bremen 30 15 3 12 72:65 48
8 Werder Bremen III 30 12 3 15 60:67 39
9 Oberneuland 30 10 6 14 65:58 36
10 ESC Geestemunde 30 10 5 15 56:81 35
11 Leher 30 10 4 16 52:62 34
12 Aumund-Vegesack 30 11 1 18 55:79 34
13 Vatan Bremen 30 9 2 19 49:91 29
14 Woltmershausen 30 6 5 19 43:90 23
15 Habenhauser 30 7 1 22 42:97 22
16 ATSV Sebaldsbruck 30 4 4 22 44:110 16
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 (Play Offs)