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Aumund-Vegesack vs Schwachhausen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aumund-Vegesack host Schwachhausen in the Oberliga Bremen. Aumund-Vegesack are expected to control this from the start. Schwachhausen have shipped 2.45 goals a game lately, while Aumund-Vegesack have conceded 2.47 and scored 2.34. Head-to-head, Aumund-Vegesack have won 2 to Schwachhausen's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 16, 2023, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Aumund-Vegesack. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aumund-Vegesack
20%
Draws
40%
Schwachhausen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aumund-Vegesack come out ahead of Schwachhausen on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aumund-Vegesack's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bremen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Aumund-Vegesack Clean Sheet 20%
Schwachhausen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aumund-Vegesack Schwachhausen
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 2.34 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Oberliga Bremen
Schwachhausen vs Aumund-Vegesack
0:3
Nov 5, 2022 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs Schwachhausen
1:0
Mar 12, 2022 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs Schwachhausen
2:2
Oct 10, 2021 Oberliga Bremen
Schwachhausen vs Aumund-Vegesack
2:2
Apr 18, 2021 Oberliga Bremen
Schwachhausen vs Aumund-Vegesack
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aumund-Vegesack 85 / 100
Schwachhausen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aumund-Vegesack Schwachhausen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aumund-Vegesack Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aumund-Vegesack scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Schwachhausen let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Aumund-Vegesack went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aumund-Vegesack VS Schwachhausen
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Aumund-Vegesack

(Home)
26 Sept
Aumund-Vegesack
1 : 1
Hemelingen
19 Sept
Woltmershausen
1 : 7
Aumund-Vegesack
12 Sept
Aumund-Vegesack
2 : 3
Union 60 Bremen
04 Sept
Oberneuland
2 : 3
Aumund-Vegesack
29 Aug
Aumund-Vegesack
2 : 3
Brinkumer
Page 1 of 7

Schwachhausen

(Away)
27 Sept
Eiche Horn
1 : 1
Schwachhausen
20 Sept
Schwachhausen
1 : 4
BTS Neustadt
13 Sept
Hemelingen
5 : 0
Schwachhausen
06 Sept
Schwachhausen
1 : 0
Werder Bremen III
29 Aug
Woltmershausen
0 : 2
Schwachhausen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemelingen 8 7 1 0 31:3 22
2 Blumenthaler 8 7 0 1 31:8 21
3 OSC Bremerhaven 8 6 1 1 33:6 19
4 Brinkumer 8 6 1 1 24:9 19
5 Aumund-Vegesack 8 4 1 3 22:16 13
6 Union 60 Bremen 8 3 3 2 17:15 12
7 ESC Geestemunde 9 3 3 3 25:25 12
8 Eiche Horn 8 3 3 2 8:12 12
9 Vatan Bremen 8 3 1 4 19:18 10
10 Grohn 8 3 1 4 13:22 10
11 Schwachhausen 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
12 BTS Neustadt 9 3 0 6 15:28 9
13 Leher 9 2 2 5 15:18 8
14 Werder Bremen III 8 1 1 6 12:24 4
15 Woltmershausen 8 1 1 6 10:32 4
16 Oberneuland 9 0 2 7 8:38 2
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg (Promotion)