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Aurora F.C. vs Antigua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Amatitlan
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurora F.C. host Antigua in the Liga Nacional. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Aurora F.C. have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.54 conceded recently, against Antigua's 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Aurora F.C. have won 0 to Antigua's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.56, favoring Antigua. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aurora F.C.
30%
Draws
31%
Antigua
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aurora F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Antigua come out ahead of Aurora F.C. on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Antigua have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 15%
Antigua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora F.C. Antigua
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Aurora F.C.
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Antigua
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Aurora F.C.
2:0
Dec 18, 2025 Liga Nacional
Antigua vs Aurora F.C.
4:2
Dec 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Antigua
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora F.C. 30 / 100
Antigua 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora F.C. Antigua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora F.C. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora F.C. scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Antigua has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Aurora F.C. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aurora F.C. VS Antigua
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora F.C.

(Home)
25 Oct
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Aurora F.C.
18 Oct
Aurora F.C.
3 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
14 Oct
Comunicaciones
1 : 2
Aurora F.C.
10 Oct
Aurora F.C.
2 : 1
Xelaju
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
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Antigua

(Away)
25 Oct
Comunicaciones
1 : 0
Antigua
20 Oct
Antigua
3 : 0
Xelaju
15 Oct
Guastatoya
1 : 1
Antigua
12 Oct
Antigua
2 : 1
Coban Imperial
09 Oct
Antigua
1 : 1
Municipal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 16 9 2 5 28:21 29
2 Municipal 16 7 6 3 20:11 27
3 Deportivo Mixco 16 8 3 5 29:23 27
4 Guastatoya 16 8 3 5 22:20 27
5 Xelaju 16 7 3 6 28:20 24
6 Marquense 16 7 3 6 18:21 24
7 Deportivo San Pedro 16 6 5 5 20:19 23
8 Aurora F.C. 16 7 1 8 26:26 22
9 Coban Imperial 16 5 4 7 22:25 19
10 Malacateco 16 5 4 7 18:23 19
11 Comunicaciones 16 5 2 9 18:24 17
12 Suchitepequez 16 1 6 9 18:34 9
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)