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Aurora F.C. vs Deportivo San Pedro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Amatitlan
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurora F.C. host Deportivo San Pedro in the Liga Nacional. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Aurora F.C. have averaged 0.93 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Deportivo San Pedro's 1.17 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Deportivo San Pedro slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.31, favoring Deportivo San Pedro. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Aurora F.C.
20%
Draws
36%
Deportivo San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aurora F.C. lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo San Pedro.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Aurora F.C. taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 18%
Deportivo San Pedro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora F.C. Deportivo San Pedro
Matches Played 28 12
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.43 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo San Pedro vs Aurora F.C.
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora F.C. 49 / 100
Deportivo San Pedro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora F.C. Deportivo San Pedro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora F.C. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora F.C. scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Deportivo San Pedro let in goals in 58% of their last 12 matches.

Aurora F.C. has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aurora F.C. VS Deportivo San Pedro
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora F.C.

(Home)
10 Oct
Aurora F.C.
2 : 1
Xelaju
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo San Pedro

(Away)
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
09 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)