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Aurora F.C. vs Guastatoya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Amatitlan
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Diaz A.
45'
Bajan D.
49' Event
Estrada J.

AI Match Summary

Guastatoya in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guastatoya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Aurora F.C.
15%
Draws
69%
Guastatoya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guastatoya lately — more wins on the board than Aurora F.C..
  • Win probability leans Guastatoya's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Guastatoya have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 13%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora F.C. Guastatoya
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Aurora F.C.
2:1
Jul 25, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Guastatoya
0:1
Mar 19, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Guastatoya
0:1
Jan 28, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Aurora F.C.
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Aurora F.C.
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora F.C. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Guastatoya Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrada J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora F.C. 22 / 100
Guastatoya 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora F.C. Guastatoya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guastatoya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora F.C. found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Guastatoya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Aurora F.C. remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aurora F.C. VS Guastatoya
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora F.C.

(Home)
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
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Guastatoya

(Away)
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
19 Sept
Comunicaciones
1 : 2
Guastatoya
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Guastatoya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)