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Aurora F.C. vs Malacateco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Amatitlan
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Vasquez G.
29'
Lemus J.
39' Event
Vivas J.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Aurora F.C. in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurora F.C..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aurora F.C.
15%
Draws
49%
Malacateco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malacateco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malacateco lately — more wins on the board than Aurora F.C..
  • Aurora F.C. are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 18%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora F.C. Malacateco
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.83 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Malacateco
1:0
Mar 23, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Aurora F.C.
1:1
Feb 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Malacateco
1:0
Dec 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Malacateco
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Aurora F.C.
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Malacateco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora F.C. 41 / 100
Malacateco 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora F.C. Malacateco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malacateco has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Malacateco lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Aurora F.C.'s goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Aurora F.C. VS Malacateco
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora F.C.

(Home)
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
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Malacateco

(Away)
03 Oct
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Malacateco
27 Sept
Marquense
1 : 0
Malacateco
21 Sept
Malacateco
1 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)