Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aurora F.C. vs Mictlan

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Guillermo Slowing
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurora F.C. play Mictlan in the Liga Nacional 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aurora F.C. averaged 0.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Mictlan averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Aurora F.C. won 1, Mictlan won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Aurora F.C. and 1.31 for Mictlan. This points to a Mictlan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aurora F.C.
33%
Draws
27%
Mictlan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aurora F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Mictlan has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aurora F.C..
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Aurora F.C..
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Nacional 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Mictlan Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora F.C. Mictlan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Mictlan
1:1
Mar 11, 2026 Liga Nacional
Mictlan vs Aurora F.C.
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
Mictlan vs Aurora F.C.
4:0
Oct 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Mictlan
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibarguen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Mictlan Compare

Top Goalscorer Meza P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora F.C. 50 / 100
Mictlan 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora F.C. Mictlan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora F.C. scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Mictlan let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Aurora F.C. went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Mictlan lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aurora F.C. VS Mictlan
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelaju22116534:1939
2Municipal22115632:2138
3Deportivo Mixco22106630:2636
4Comunicaciones22112928:2635
5Antigua2297634:2934
6Coban Imperial2288629:2232
7Guastatoya2287729:2131
8Marquense22931025:2930
9Mictlan2276925:3627
10Malacateco22641219:2522
11Aurora F.C.22481014:3020
12Deportivo Achuapa22541317:3219