Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aurora F.C. vs Municipal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Amatitlan
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Mendez J.
33'
Mingorance P.
42'
Aguilar C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Aurora F.C. and Municipal finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Municipal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Aurora F.C.
30%
Draws
52%
Municipal
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Municipal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Municipal come out ahead of Aurora F.C. on wins alone.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 14%
Municipal Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora F.C. Municipal
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 6 21
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 2
Goals Scored 0.86 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Municipal
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Aurora F.C.
4:1
Jan 25, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Municipal
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Municipal
1:0
Jul 26, 2025 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Aurora F.C.
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Municipal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora F.C. 35 / 100
Municipal 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora F.C. Municipal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Municipal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Aurora F.C. found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Municipal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 32 matches.

Aurora F.C. has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aurora F.C. VS Municipal
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora F.C.

(Home)
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
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Municipal

(Away)
09 Oct
Antigua
1 : 1
Municipal
25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
06 Sept
Municipal
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 13 5 3 5 25:16 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Aurora F.C. 13 5 0 8 19:22 15
9 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
10 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)