Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aurora F.C. vs Suchitepequez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Amatitlan
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Monterroso C.
53'
Icute M.
57' Event
Vivas J.

AI Match Summary

Aurora F.C. in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurora F.C..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Aurora F.C.
20%
Draws
32%
Suchitepequez
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurora F.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Suchitepequez have won more games recently than Aurora F.C..
  • Model gives Aurora F.C. a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Suchitepequez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora F.C. Suchitepequez
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.86 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Suchitepequez
3:2
May 8, 2005 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Aurora F.C.
6:4
Mar 5, 2005 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Suchitepequez
1:0
Nov 6, 2004 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Suchitepequez
1:2
Sep 4, 2004 Liga Nacional
Suchitepequez vs Aurora F.C.
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Monterroso C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vivas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Suchitepequez Compare

Top Goalscorer Montano Cardenas F. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Leon F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora F.C. 77 / 100
Suchitepequez 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora F.C. Suchitepequez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurora F.C. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Suchitepequez conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Aurora F.C. found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Difficult form: Suchitepequez registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aurora F.C. VS Suchitepequez
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora F.C.

(Home)
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
27 Sept
Coban Imperial
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
19 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 0
Marquense
13 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 2
Aurora F.C.
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
Page 1 of 6

Suchitepequez

(Away)
05 Oct
Comunicaciones
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
3 Antigua 11 7 0 4 21:17 21
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)