Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aurora F.C. vs Xelaju

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Amatitlan
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Lopez A.
45'
Quinonez O.
62'
Sub
Ruiz K. In: Gonzalez J.
Out: Ruiz K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Aurora F.C.
28%
Draws
50%
Xelaju
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Xelaju have won more games recently than Aurora F.C..
  • Win probability leans Xelaju's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Aurora F.C. Clean Sheet 15%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora F.C. Xelaju
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.17 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.17 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Xelaju
0:0
Jan 21, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Aurora F.C.
4:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Nacional
Aurora F.C. vs Xelaju
3:2
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Aurora F.C.
2:2
Apr 23, 2005 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Aurora F.C.
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora F.C. 23 / 100
Xelaju 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora F.C. Xelaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick XEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Xelaju has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Aurora F.C.'s goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Aurora F.C. stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aurora F.C. VS Xelaju
0.17 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
17% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora F.C.

(Home)
26 Apr
Aurora F.C.
1 : 1
Mictlan
19 Apr
Deportivo Mixco
4 : 0
Aurora F.C.
15 Apr
Aurora F.C.
0 : 1
Marquense
11 Apr
Comunicaciones
1 : 0
Aurora F.C.
04 Apr
Aurora F.C.
0 : 2
Antigua
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Xelaju

(Away)
24 May
Xelaju
1 : 2
Municipal
17 May
Municipal
4 : 1
Xelaju
11 May
Xelaju
2 : 0
Comunicaciones
08 May
Comunicaciones
2 : 2
Xelaju
04 May
Xelaju
2 : 0
Marquense
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelaju22116534:1939
2Municipal22115632:2138
3Deportivo Mixco22106630:2636
4Comunicaciones22112928:2635
5Antigua2297634:2934
6Coban Imperial2288629:2232
7Guastatoya2287729:2131
8Marquense22931025:2930
9Mictlan2276925:3627
10Malacateco22641219:2522
11Aurora F.C.22481014:3020
12Deportivo Achuapa22541317:3219
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)