Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group B 2014/2015

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aurora Seriate host FC Castiglione in the Serie D - Group B 2014/2015. Little to choose between these two on current form. FC Castiglione have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Aurora Seriate have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Aurora Seriate have won 1 to FC Castiglione's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2015, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.38, favoring FC Castiglione. FC Castiglione in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Aurora Seriate

Draws

FC Castiglione

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aurora Seriate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FC Castiglione has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Aurora Seriate.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Aurora Seriate.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Aurora Seriate Clean Sheet 17%

FC Castiglione Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aurora Seriate	FC Castiglione
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	15
Draws	6	6
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2015 Serie D - Group B

FC Castiglione vs Aurora Seriate

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 4 - 2

2:2

Dec 7, 2014 Serie D - Group B

Aurora Seriate vs FC Castiglione

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora Seriate 84 / 100

FC Castiglione 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aurora Seriate FC Castiglione

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SER Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora Seriate scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

FC Castiglione let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Aurora Seriate went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Castiglione lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aurora Seriate VS FC Castiglione

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Castiglione	36	22	8	6	54:26	74
2	Lecco	36	19	9	8	65:42	66
3	Seregno Calcio	36	20	5	11	64:37	65
4	Ciserano	36	17	9	10	53:39	60
5	Virtus Verona	36	15	14	7	58:34	59
6	Pergolettese	36	15	10	11	46:44	55
7	Olginatese	36	15	9	12	44:34	54
8	Ponte San Pietro	36	14	10	12	50:42	52
9	Ciliverghe Mazzano	36	14	9	13	37:40	51
10	Sondrio	36	15	6	15	46:50	51
11	Aurora Seriate	36	14	8	14	42:43	50
12	Inveruno	36	13	10	13	47:48	49
13	Villafranca	36	12	11	13	44:49	47
14	MapelloBonate	36	12	11	13	36:48	47
15	Pro Sesto	36	13	8	15	38:41	47
16	Caravaggio	36	11	8	17	37:42	41
17	Folgore Caratese	36	7	16	13	34:40	37
18	Castellana	36	7	9	20	36:61	30
19	Montichiari	36	1	2	33	26:97	5