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Stadium Background

Aurora Seriate vs Olginatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olginatese in this Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olginatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aurora Seriate
30%
Draws
37%
Olginatese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olginatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aurora Seriate lately — more wins on the board than Olginatese.
  • Aurora Seriate are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Aurora Seriate Clean Sheet 20%
Olginatese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Seriate Olginatese
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.27 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs Olginatese
0:1
Jan 4, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Aurora Seriate
1:1
Apr 17, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Aurora Seriate vs Olginatese
1:3
Dec 8, 2013 Serie D - Group B
Olginatese vs Aurora Seriate
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora Seriate 42 / 100
Olginatese 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Seriate Olginatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Olginatese conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Aurora Seriate scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Aurora Seriate remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Olginatese
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora Seriate

(Home)
10 May
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1
Olginatese
03 May
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 3
Aurora Seriate
26 Apr
Aurora Seriate
1 : 0
Pro Sesto
19 Apr
FC Castiglione
2 : 2
Aurora Seriate
12 Apr
Aurora Seriate
0 : 1
Seregno Calcio
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Olginatese

(Away)
15 May
Olginatese
2 : 1
AC Leon
08 May
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Olginatese
01 May
Olginatese
1 : 2
Sona
27 Apr
Vis Nova Giussano
3 : 3
Olginatese
24 Apr
Olginatese
2 : 2
Franciacorta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Castiglione 36 22 8 6 54:26 74
2 Lecco 36 19 9 8 65:42 66
3 Seregno Calcio 36 20 5 11 64:37 65
4 Ciserano 36 17 9 10 53:39 60
5 Virtus Verona 36 15 14 7 58:34 59
6 Pergolettese 36 15 10 11 46:44 55
7 Olginatese 36 15 9 12 44:34 54
8 Ponte San Pietro 36 14 10 12 50:42 52
9 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 14 9 13 37:40 51
10 Sondrio 36 15 6 15 46:50 51
11 Aurora Seriate 36 14 8 14 42:43 50
12 Inveruno 36 13 10 13 47:48 49
13 Villafranca 36 12 11 13 44:49 47
14 MapelloBonate 36 12 11 13 36:48 47
15 Pro Sesto 36 13 8 15 38:41 47
16 Caravaggio 36 11 8 17 37:42 41
17 Folgore Caratese 36 7 16 13 34:40 37
18 Castellana 36 7 9 20 36:61 30
19 Montichiari 36 1 2 33 26:97 5
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2014/2015 (Play Out)