Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aurora vs Guabira

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Andres Valverde P. M.
Assist: Peredo G.
15' Event
Rangel M.
Penalty Missed
26'
Lopez P.

AI Match Summary

Aurora in this Division Profesional matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Aurora
30%
Draws
51%
Guabira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guabira lately — more wins on the board than Aurora.
  • Win probability leans Guabira's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Aurora Clean Sheet 10%
Guabira Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Guabira
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.59 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Guabira
4:2
Oct 28, 2025 Copa Pacena
Aurora vs Guabira
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 Copa Pacena
Guabira vs Aurora
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Guabira
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 Division Profesional
Guabira vs Aurora
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurora Compare

Top Goalscorer Viviani L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ortiz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Guabira Compare

Top Goalscorer Andres Valverde P. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 10 / 100
Guabira 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Guabira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guabira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Guabira let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Solid form: Aurora remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS Guabira
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurora

(Home)
22 Aug
Aurora
0 : 0
Real Potosi
18 Aug
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 1
Aurora
15 Aug
Blooming
3 : 0
Aurora
08 Aug
Aurora
2 : 4
Bolivar
04 Aug
Independiente
1 : 1
Aurora
Page 1 of 6

Guabira

(Away)
18 Aug
Guabira
2 : 1
Club Universitario de Vinto
15 Aug
Guabira
3 : 1
The Strongest
07 Aug
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Guabira
05 Aug
Guabira
3 : 0
Tomayapo
31 Jul
Club Universitario de Vinto
1 : 1
Guabira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 15 10 4 1 32:9 34
2 Bolivar 15 9 3 3 36:16 30
3 The Strongest 16 8 6 2 26:20 30
4 Oriente Petrolero 16 8 2 6 29:20 26
5 Real Potosi 16 6 7 3 22:11 25
6 Guabira 15 7 3 5 26:27 24
7 Aurora 16 5 8 3 23:22 23
8 Independiente 16 6 4 6 22:24 22
9 Nacional Potosi 16 6 3 7 25:21 21
10 Blooming 15 5 6 4 20:16 21
11 Academia del Balompie 16 5 2 9 26:33 17
12 Real Oruro 15 5 2 8 27:38 17
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 16 5 2 9 18:32 17
14 GV San Jose 16 2 7 7 16:24 13
15 Tomayapo 15 3 3 9 11:31 12
16 Club Universitario de Vinto 16 3 2 11 20:35 11
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)