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Aurora vs Real Mamore

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Liga de Futbol Prof 2011/2012 Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles
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Match Events

14' Event
29' Event
60' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Futbol Prof 2011/2012 game between Aurora and Real Mamore finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aurora
6%
Draws
4%
Real Mamore
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aurora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aurora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aurora's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga de Futbol Prof 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Aurora here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Aurora Clean Sheet 68%
Real Mamore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurora Real Mamore
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 3
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2012 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Real Mamore
5:0
Mar 25, 2012 Division Profesional
Real Mamore vs Aurora
1:2
Dec 1, 2011 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Real Mamore
3:1
Sep 8, 2011 Division Profesional
Real Mamore vs Aurora
0:2
May 13, 2011 Division Profesional
Aurora vs Real Mamore
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurora 95 / 100
Real Mamore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurora Real Mamore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurora scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Real Mamore has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Aurora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aurora VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%