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Aurrera de Vitoria vs Touring KE

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Arteaga U.
14'
Arteaga U.
75' Event
Ortiz J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Aurrera de Vitoria and Touring KE finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Touring KE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Aurrera de Vitoria
20%
Draws
28%
Touring KE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurrera de Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Aurrera de Vitoria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Aurrera de Vitoria taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Aurrera de Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurrera de Vitoria Touring KE
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Touring KE
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Touring KE
0:2
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Aurrera de Vitoria
0:0
Mar 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Aurrera de Vitoria
4:0
Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs Touring KE
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aurrera de Vitoria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Touring KE Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Alba M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurrera de Vitoria 86 / 100
Touring KE 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurrera de Vitoria Touring KE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurrera de Vitoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Aurrera de Vitoria remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Aurrera de Vitoria's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Touring KE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Aurrera de Vitoria VS Touring KE
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurrera de Vitoria

(Home)
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
05 Sept
Amurrio Club
1 : 2
Aurrera de Vitoria
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0
Amorebieta
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Touring KE

(Away)
26 Sept
Alaves C
1 : 2
Touring KE
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1
UD Aretxabaleta
15 Aug
Beasain
2 : 1
Touring KE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)