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Aurrera Ondarroa vs Amurrio Club

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 game between Aurrera Ondarroa and Amurrio Club finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Aurrera Ondarroa
28%
Draws
50%
Amurrio Club
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Amurrio Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Amurrio Club carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Amurrio Club are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Aurrera Ondarroa Clean Sheet 10%
Amurrio Club Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurrera Ondarroa Amurrio Club
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.25 2
Goals Conceded 2.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Amurrio Club
2:2
Oct 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs Aurrera Ondarroa
1:2
May 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs Aurrera Ondarroa
2:2
Dec 31, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Amurrio Club
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurrera Ondarroa 22 / 100
Amurrio Club 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurrera Ondarroa Amurrio Club

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Amurrio Club conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Amurrio Club lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Aurrera Ondarroa scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Aurrera Ondarroa VS Amurrio Club
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alaves B382113472:3176
2Beasain381913665:3670
3Portugalete381913660:3370
4Barakaldo38209964:4669
5Basconia381811945:3265
6CD Vitoria3816111155:4959
7San Ignacio381771457:4858
8SCD Durango381318742:2957
9Leioa3815111255:3856
10Anaitasuna FT3814101448:4952
11Lagun Onak3813121342:4451
12Pasaia3813111436:4350
13SD Deusto3811161142:4049
14Urduliz FT381291739:5745
15Aurrera Ondarroa381082036:5538
16Santutxu FC388141642:6038
17Uritarra381082038:5238
18Amurrio Club388131739:4537
19Beti Gazte38682434:8026
20Tolosa38752643:8726