Sport Picks
Aurrera Ondarroa vs SD Deusto
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 
Match Events
69'
69'
Lizundia E.
AI Match Summary
Aurrera Ondarroa in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurrera Ondarroa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Deusto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to SD Deusto lately — more wins on the board than Aurrera Ondarroa.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Aurrera Ondarroa Clean Sheet 68%
SD Deusto Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aurrera Ondarroa | SD Deusto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Aurrera Ondarroa
3:0
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs SD Deusto
1:0
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Aurrera Ondarroa
0:0
Dec 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs SD Deusto
1:2
Feb 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Aurrera Ondarroa
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aurrera Ondarroa Compare
Top Goalscorer Lizundia E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
SD Deusto Compare
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aurrera Ondarroa 42 / 100
SD Deusto 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aurrera Ondarroa SD Deusto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SD Deusto let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.
SD Deusto lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Aurrera Ondarroa scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
- VS SD Deusto
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Aurrera Ondarroa
(Home) 11 May
Urduliz FT
1 : 3 Aurrera Ondarroa
05 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 2 Basconia
01 May
Anorga
3 : 2 Aurrera Ondarroa
27 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 3 Alaves C
20 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0 Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 2 Basconia
27 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 3 Alaves C
13 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 0 Leioa
28 Mar
Aurrera Ondarroa
0 : 1 Lagun Onak
16 Mar
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 0 Pasaia
Page 1 of 3
SD Deusto
(Away) 09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1 SD Deusto
03 May
SD Deusto
1 : 3 Leioa
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0 SD Deusto
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0 Anorga
11 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 1 SD Deusto
Page 1 of 8
09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1 SD Deusto
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0 SD Deusto
11 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 1 SD Deusto
29 Mar
Zamudio
2 : 0 SD Deusto
15 Mar
Real Sociedad C
1 : 0 SD Deusto
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Vitoria | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 65:17 | 82 |
| 2 | Basconia | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 54:32 | 64 |
| 3 | Beasain | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 55:36 | 63 |
| 4 | SD Deusto | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 45:29 | 61 |
| 5 | Portugalete | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 54:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 43:33 | 57 |
| 7 | SCD Durango | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 47:47 | 50 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 49:44 | 47 |
| 9 | Leioa | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 46:51 | 45 |
| 10 | Urduliz FT | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | 42 |
| 11 | Derio | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:35 | 42 |
| 12 | Alaves C | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:42 | 40 |
| 13 | Touring KE | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39:49 | 39 |
| 14 | Padura | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 15 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 23:42 | 34 |
| 16 | Anaitasuna FT | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:51 | 32 |
| 17 | Aurrera Ondarroa | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 26:54 | 24 |
| 18 | Anorga | 34 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 31:64 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
