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Aurrera Ondarroa vs Sodupe

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aurrera Ondarroa in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurrera Ondarroa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Aurrera Ondarroa
15%
Draws
65%
Sodupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sodupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Sodupe haven't matched Aurrera Ondarroa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sodupe's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Aurrera Ondarroa Clean Sheet 17%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurrera Ondarroa Sodupe
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.16 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Sodupe
5:0
Apr 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Aurrera Ondarroa
0:2
Apr 30, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Aurrera Ondarroa
5:1
Dec 8, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Sodupe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurrera Ondarroa 23 / 100
Sodupe 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurrera Ondarroa Sodupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sodupe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Sodupe let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Aurrera Ondarroa scored in 57% of their last 37 outings.

Aurrera Ondarroa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aurrera Ondarroa VS Sodupe
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.2
63% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurrera Ondarroa

(Home)
11 May
Urduliz FT
1 : 3
Aurrera Ondarroa
05 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 2
Basconia
01 May
Anorga
3 : 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
27 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 3
Alaves C
20 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Aurrera Ondarroa
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Sodupe

(Away)
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3
Somorrostro
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2
Sodupe
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