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Aurrera Ondarroa vs Urgatzi Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Aurrera Ondarroa Logo

Aurrera Ondarroa

4 - 1
FT
Urgatzi Logo

Urgatzi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Aurrera Ondarroa and Urgatzi finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aurrera Ondarroa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Aurrera Ondarroa
15%
Draws
0%
Urgatzi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurrera Ondarroa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aurrera Ondarroa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aurrera Ondarroa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Aurrera Ondarroa Clean Sheet 14%
Urgatzi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aurrera Ondarroa Urgatzi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 17 25
Goals Scored 0.97 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.5 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera Ondarroa vs Urgatzi
4:1
Jan 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urgatzi vs Aurrera Ondarroa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aurrera Ondarroa 84 / 100
Urgatzi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aurrera Ondarroa Urgatzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurrera Ondarroa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urgatzi has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Urgatzi's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Aurrera Ondarroa scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Aurrera Ondarroa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aurrera Ondarroa

(Home)
11 May
Urduliz FT
1 : 3
Aurrera Ondarroa
05 May
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 2
Basconia
01 May
Anorga
3 : 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
27 Apr
Aurrera Ondarroa
1 : 3
Alaves C
20 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 7

Urgatzi

(Away)
12 Jun
SCD Durango
1 : 0
Urgatzi
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2
Sodupe
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
23 May
Urgatzi
0 : 2
Lagun Onak
15 May
Santurtzi
4 : 1
Urgatzi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gernika Club 20 13 4 3 39:16 43
2 Real Sociedad C 20 12 4 4 48:27 40
3 Sestao 20 12 3 5 40:13 39
4 SD Deusto 20 11 3 6 30:24 36
5 Santutxu FC 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
6 Beasain 20 6 9 5 20:14 27
7 Tolosa 20 6 6 8 21:26 24
8 Aurrera Ondarroa 20 5 5 10 23:31 20
9 Balmaseda 20 3 9 8 22:27 18
10 Somorrostro 20 4 5 11 20:31 17
11 Urgatzi 20 3 1 16 11:62 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 20 9 8 3 20:4 35
2 Urduliz FT 20 9 8 3 28:18 35
3 Pasaia 20 9 7 4 22:14 34
4 Basconia 20 7 9 4 24:15 30
5 Anaitasuna FT 20 7 9 4 20:19 30
6 San Ignacio 20 7 8 5 19:19 29
7 Santurtzi 20 6 5 9 18:27 23
8 SCD Durango 20 5 7 8 17:20 22
9 Sodupe 20 4 8 8 21:23 20
10 CD Ariznabarra 20 3 7 10 12:28 16
11 Lagun Onak 20 3 6 11 17:31 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)