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Austevoll vs Gneist IL - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Skar T.

AI Match Summary

Austevoll in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austevoll.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Austevoll
15%
Draws
26%
Gneist IL
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austevoll

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Gneist IL haven't matched Austevoll's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Austevoll's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Austevoll have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Austevoll Clean Sheet 16%
Gneist IL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austevoll Gneist IL
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.93 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.31 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Austevoll vs Gneist IL
1:0
May 14, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Gneist IL vs Austevoll
4:5
Aug 20, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Austevoll vs Gneist IL
3:0
Apr 30, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Gneist IL vs Austevoll
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austevoll Compare

Top Goalscorer Skar T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Gneist IL Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austevoll 66 / 100
Gneist IL 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austevoll Gneist IL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austevoll Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austevoll scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Gneist IL has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Austevoll remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Austevoll VS Gneist IL
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Austevoll

(Home)
10 Oct
Austevoll
3 : 2
Forde
03 Oct
Sogndal 2
2 : 3
Austevoll
26 Sept
Austevoll
1 : 0
Gneist IL
19 Sept
Austevoll
1 : 3
Askoy
12 Sept
Djerv 1919
5 : 2
Austevoll
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Gneist IL

(Away)
10 Oct
Sogndal 2
5 : 3
Gneist IL
03 Oct
Gneist IL
0 : 5
Djerv 1919
26 Sept
Austevoll
1 : 0
Gneist IL
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Gneist IL
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