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Austevoll vs Stord - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austevoll host Stord in the Division 3 - Group 3. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Austevoll have averaged 1.93 scored and 2.25 conceded recently, against Stord's 1.82 scored and 2.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Stord slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 4:4. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.94) point toward Austevoll. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Austevoll
15%
Draws
37%
Stord
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austevoll

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Austevoll lately — more wins on the board than Stord.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Austevoll Clean Sheet 10%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austevoll Stord
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 11
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Austevoll
4:4
Sep 28, 2013 Division 3 - Group 7
Austevoll vs Stord
2:2
Jun 8, 2013 Division 3 - Group 7
Stord vs Austevoll
8:2
Aug 11, 2012 Division 3 - Group 7
Austevoll vs Stord
1:3
Apr 29, 2012 Division 3 - Group 7
Stord vs Austevoll
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austevoll 29 / 100
Stord 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austevoll Stord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austevoll Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Austevoll scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Stord let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 6.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Austevoll stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austevoll VS Stord
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Austevoll

(Home)
10 Oct
Austevoll
3 : 2
Forde
03 Oct
Sogndal 2
2 : 3
Austevoll
26 Sept
Austevoll
1 : 0
Gneist IL
19 Sept
Austevoll
1 : 3
Askoy
12 Sept
Djerv 1919
5 : 2
Austevoll
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Stord

(Away)
10 Oct
Varegg
2 : 3
Stord
03 Oct
Stord
1 : 2
V. Haugesund
26 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Stord
17 Sept
Stord
3 : 4
Djerv 1919
12 Sept
Askoy
3 : 3
Stord
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