Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Parmer Filed

Austin FC II

2 - 4

Minnesota United 2

Our Tip

Match Events

Caldeira M.

Assist: Kamara M.

21'

Caldeira M.

Assist: Vigilante S.

39'

Thomas R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Minnesota United 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minnesota United 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Austin FC II

28%

Draws

22%

Minnesota United 2

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Austin FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Minnesota United 2 lately — more wins on the board than Austin FC II.
50% — that's where the model lands on Austin FC II taking it.
Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Austin FC II Clean Sheet 19%

Minnesota United 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Austin FC II	Minnesota United 2
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	18	19
Draws	0	0
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	2.63	2.13
Goals Conceded	0.38	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs Minnesota United 2

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

2:3

Jun 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Minnesota United 2 vs Austin FC II

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 2 - 4

1:3

Mar 2, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs Minnesota United 2

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 4 - 1

2:4

Sep 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Minnesota United 2 vs Austin FC II

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

May 24, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs Minnesota United 2

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austin FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Alastuey J.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Minnesota United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caldeira M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Randell D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC II 49 / 100

Minnesota United 2 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Austin FC II Minnesota United 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austin FC II's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Minnesota United 2 has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Austin FC II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Austin FC II VS Minnesota United 2

2.63 Goals Scored 2.13

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	18	13	5	33:29	36
2	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
3	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
6	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
7	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
8	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
2	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
3	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
4	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
5	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
6	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
2	Columbus Crew 2	18	13	5	33:29	36
3	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
4	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
5	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
6	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
7	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
10	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
11	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
12	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
13	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
5	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
6	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
7	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
11	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12