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Austin FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro Parmer Filed, Austin, TX
Austin FC II Logo

Austin FC II

1 - 0
FT
Sporting Kansas City II Logo

Sporting Kansas City II

Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Gonzalez A.
31'
Bery J.
46'
Sub
Gonzalez A. In: Ruszel M.
Out: Gonzalez A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Austin FC II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austin FC II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Austin FC II
15%
Draws
17%
Sporting Kansas City II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austin FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Austin FC II lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Kansas City II.
  • Model gives Austin FC II a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Austin FC II here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Austin FC II Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Kansas City II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin FC II Sporting Kansas City II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 1.97 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II
1:0
Jun 22, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II
2:1
May 23, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Austin FC II
0:3
Aug 3, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Sporting Kansas City II vs Austin FC II
1:3
Jun 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austin FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Sall I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Sporting Kansas City II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC II 85 / 100
Sporting Kansas City II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin FC II Sporting Kansas City II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Austin FC II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austin FC II scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sporting Kansas City II conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Austin FC II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austin FC II VS Sporting Kansas City II
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Austin FC II

(Home)
20 Sept
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
14 Sept
Austin FC II
1 : 0
Colorado Rapids 2
04 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
30 Aug
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
Austin FC II
24 Aug
Austin FC II
1 : 0
San Jose Earthquakes II
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Kansas City II

(Away)
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 3
Sporting Kansas City II
14 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 5
Los Angeles FC 2
06 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2
St. Louis City 2
30 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
5 : 1
Sporting Kansas City II
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)