Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 Parmer Filed

Austin FC II

1 - 2

St. Louis City 2

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Perez M.

33'

Cilley C.

34'

Alastuey J.

Assist: Burton M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St. Louis City 2 in this MLS Next Pro 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Louis City 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Austin FC II

Draws

St. Louis City 2

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Austin FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Austin FC II average 2.63 goals a game right now, well clear of St. Louis City 2's 1.13.
Austin FC II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular MLS Next Pro 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Austin FC II Clean Sheet 20%

St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Austin FC II	St. Louis City 2
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	18	18
Draws	0	0
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	2.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.38	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 MLS Next Pro

St. Louis City 2 vs Austin FC II

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

0:2

May 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs St. Louis City 2

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Sep 20, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs St. Louis City 2

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Jul 12, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs St. Louis City 2

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

2:4

Mar 30, 2025 MLS Next Pro

St. Louis City 2 vs Austin FC II

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austin FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Alastuey J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

St. Louis City 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Jaaskelainen E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC II 85 / 100

St. Louis City 2 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Austin FC II St. Louis City 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austin FC II's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Austin FC II stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

St. Louis City 2 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Austin FC II VS St. Louis City 2

2.63 Goals Scored 1.13

0.38 Goals Conceded 2.38

100% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	28	19	9	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	20	8	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	19	9	54:37	54
4	Chicago Fire II	28	17	11	69:58	48
5	FC Cincinnati 2	28	16	12	40:41	41
6	Toronto FC II	28	12	16	34:42	38
7	New York City II	28	11	17	53:61	35
8	Columbus Crew 2	28	6	22	40:64	22

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Chattanooga	28	18	10	42:36	53
2	Huntsville City	28	18	10	56:32	52
3	Carolina Core	28	13	15	42:44	39
4	Atlanta United 2	28	11	17	44:43	38
5	Orlando City B	28	13	15	38:55	37
6	Crown Legacy	28	10	18	45:54	32
7	Inter Miami II	28	7	21	40:72	25

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	San Jose Earthquakes II	28	18	10	59:36	52
2	Real Monarchs	28	17	11	55:42	51
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	15	13	61:54	42
4	Ventura County	28	13	15	48:51	41
5	Portland Timbers 2	28	12	16	47:54	38
6	Tacoma Defiance	28	12	16	62:67	36
7	Los Angeles FC 2	28	11	17	47:61	33

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	22	6	60:37	62
2	Colorado Rapids 2	28	16	12	55:40	51
3	Minnesota United 2	28	14	14	45:42	44
4	North Texas	28	15	13	46:56	43
5	Austin FC II	28	13	15	35:36	41
6	Houston Dynamo 2	28	13	15	40:47	37
7	Sporting Kansas City II	28	5	23	30:67	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	New York Red Bulls II	28	19	9	68:56	58
2	Philadelphia Union II	28	20	8	64:34	58
3	New England Revolution II	28	19	9	54:37	54
4	Chattanooga	28	18	10	42:36	53
5	Huntsville City	28	18	10	56:32	52
6	Chicago Fire II	28	17	11	69:58	48
7	FC Cincinnati 2	28	16	12	40:41	41
8	Carolina Core	28	13	15	42:44	39
9	Toronto FC II	28	12	16	34:42	38
10	Atlanta United 2	28	11	17	44:43	38
11	Orlando City B	28	13	15	38:55	37
12	New York City II	28	11	17	53:61	35
13	Crown Legacy	28	10	18	45:54	32
14	Inter Miami II	28	7	21	40:72	25
15	Columbus Crew 2	28	6	22	40:64	22

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	28	22	6	60:37	62
2	San Jose Earthquakes II	28	18	10	59:36	52
3	Colorado Rapids 2	28	16	12	55:40	51
4	Real Monarchs	28	17	11	55:42	51
5	Minnesota United 2	28	14	14	45:42	44
6	North Texas	28	15	13	46:56	43
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	28	15	13	61:54	42
8	Ventura County	28	13	15	48:51	41
9	Austin FC II	28	13	15	35:36	41
10	Portland Timbers 2	28	12	16	47:54	38
11	Houston Dynamo 2	28	13	15	40:47	37
12	Tacoma Defiance	28	12	16	62:67	36
13	Los Angeles FC 2	28	11	17	47:61	33
14	Sporting Kansas City II	28	5	23	30:67	17