Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Parmer Filed

Austin FC II

3 - 0

Tacoma Defiance

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Sub

Barro D. In: Gonzalez A.

Out: Barro D.

53'

Hawkins S.

54'

Danciutiu V.

Assist: Burton M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Austin FC II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austin FC II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Austin FC II

28%

Draws

22%

Tacoma Defiance

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Austin FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Austin FC II have won more games recently than Tacoma Defiance.
50% — that's where the model lands on Austin FC II taking it.
Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Austin FC II have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Austin FC II Clean Sheet 20%

Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Austin FC II	Tacoma Defiance
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	18	12
Draws	0	0
Losses	10	17
Goals Scored	2.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Mar 23, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Austin FC II

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Sep 13, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Austin FC II

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Mar 16, 2024 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 0 - 0

1:3

Oct 9, 2023 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Austin FC II

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austin FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Danciutiu V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ciesla D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Tacoma Defiance Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC II 49 / 100

Tacoma Defiance 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Austin FC II Tacoma Defiance

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austin FC II's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Tacoma Defiance let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Austin FC II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austin FC II VS Tacoma Defiance

2.63 Goals Scored 1.13

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88

100% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	18	13	5	33:29	36
2	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
3	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
6	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
7	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
8	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
2	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
3	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
4	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
5	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
6	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
2	Columbus Crew 2	18	13	5	33:29	36
3	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
4	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
5	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
6	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
7	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
10	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
11	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
12	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
13	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
5	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
6	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
7	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
11	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12