Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Parmer Filed

Ventura County

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Austin FC II play Ventura County in the MLS Next Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Austin FC II averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Ventura County averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Austin FC II won 3, Ventura County won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Austin FC II and 1.25 for Ventura County. This points to a Austin FC II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Austin FC II

15%

Draws

34%

Ventura County

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austin FC II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Austin FC II picked up more points recently compared to Ventura County.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Austin FC II Clean Sheet 19%

Ventura County Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Austin FC II	Ventura County
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	18	13
Draws	0	0
Losses	11	16
Goals Scored	1.83	1.76
Goals Conceded	1.28	1.97
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Ventura County vs Austin FC II

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Mar 9, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs Ventura County

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

2:3

Aug 23, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs Ventura County

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

May 14, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Ventura County vs Austin FC II

Possession: 49% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Apr 27, 2024 MLS Next Pro

Austin FC II vs Ventura County

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 3 - 4

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austin FC II Compare

Top Goalscorer Sall I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Thomas R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Ventura County Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanney D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Elgersma T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC II 50 / 100

Ventura County 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Austin FC II Ventura County

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Austin FC II or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Austin FC II attacking → ← attacking Ventura County

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austin FC II scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Ventura County let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Austin FC II went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ventura County lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 39

2.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
5	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
6	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
7	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
2	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
3	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
4	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
5	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
6	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
7	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
8	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
4	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
5	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
6	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
4	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
5	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
3	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
4	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
5	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
6	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
7	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
8	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
9	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
10	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
11	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
12	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
13	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
14	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
15	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14
16	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
4	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
5	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
6	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
7	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
8	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
9	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
10	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
11	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9