Sport Picks
Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX 
Match Events
22'
22'
Aaronson P.
27'
27'
Sub
Maziz Y. In: Atencio J.
Out: Maziz Y.
45'
45'
Atencio J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Austin FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Colorado Rapids lately — more wins on the board than Austin FC.
- Austin FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 20%
Colorado Rapids Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Austin FC | Colorado Rapids |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2026 MLS
Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids
1:1
Aug 2, 2026 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC
1:0
Jun 8, 2025 MLS
Colorado Rapids vs Austin FC
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 MLS
Austin FC vs Colorado Rapids
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Austin FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Torres F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Colorado Rapids Compare
Top Goalscorer Aaronson P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Austin FC 42 / 100
Colorado Rapids 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Austin FC Colorado Rapids
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Austin FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Austin FC scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Colorado Rapids let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Austin FC VS Colorado Rapids
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Austin FC
(Home) 27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3 San Diego FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0 Austin FC
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2 Austin FC
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 Colorado Rapids
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes
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27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3 San Diego FC
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 Colorado Rapids
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes
23 Aug
Austin FC
1 : 1 Philadelphia Union
17 Aug
Austin FC
1 : 2 FC Dallas
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Colorado Rapids
(Away) 27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2 Colorado Rapids
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3 Seattle Sounders
17 Sept
Colorado Rapids
0 : 3 St. Louis City
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0 CF Montreal
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 Colorado Rapids
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27 Sept
Los Angeles Galaxy
3 : 2 Colorado Rapids
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 Colorado Rapids
05 Sept
Columbus Crew
3 : 0 Colorado Rapids
23 Aug
San Diego FC
3 : 0 Colorado Rapids
26 Jul
St. Louis City
1 : 0 Colorado Rapids
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
