Sport Picks
Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX 
Match Events
18'
18'
Sullivan C.
Assist: Harriel N.
21'
21'
Hines-Ike B.
Assist: Rosales J.
37'
37'
Bueno J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
35%
44%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Philadelphia Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Philadelphia Union have won more games recently than Austin FC.
- 44% — that's where the model lands on Philadelphia Union taking it.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 10%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Austin FC | Philadelphia Union |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 MLS
Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 MLS
Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union
2:2
Jan 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Austin FC vs Philadelphia Union
1:1
Jan 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Philadelphia Union vs Austin FC
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Austin FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Hines-Ike B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Philadelphia Union Compare
Top Goalscorer Sullivan C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Austin FC 18 / 100
Philadelphia Union 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Austin FC Philadelphia Union
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Philadelphia Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
Austin FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Austin FC found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Philadelphia Union's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Austin FC VS Philadelphia Union
1.13 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Austin FC
(Home) 27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3 San Diego FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0 Austin FC
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2 Austin FC
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 Colorado Rapids
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes
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27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3 San Diego FC
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 Colorado Rapids
06 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1 San Jose Earthquakes
23 Aug
Austin FC
1 : 1 Philadelphia Union
17 Aug
Austin FC
1 : 2 FC Dallas
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Philadelphia Union
(Away) 26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2 Orlando City
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4 Philadelphia Union
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5 Philadelphia Union
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0 FC Cincinnati
05 Sept
Philadelphia Union
2 : 0 CF Montreal
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20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4 Philadelphia Union
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5 Philadelphia Union
29 Aug
New York Red Bulls
1 : 3 Philadelphia Union
23 Aug
Austin FC
1 : 1 Philadelphia Union
16 Aug
New York City
2 : 3 Philadelphia Union
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 51:40 | 48 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 4 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 42:38 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 41:52 | 32 |
| 12 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 35:56 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
