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Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Q2 Stadium, Austin, TX
Austin FC Logo

Austin FC

3 - 1
FT
Seattle Sounders Logo

Seattle Sounders

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sanchez I.
Assist: Sabovic B.
26' Event
Rothrock P.
59'
Ragen J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Austin FC and Seattle Sounders finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Austin FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Austin FC
35%
Draws
44%
Seattle Sounders
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Seattle Sounders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Austin FC and Seattle Sounders close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Win probability leans Seattle Sounders's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 11%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin FC Seattle Sounders
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Austin FC
1:2
Jul 23, 2026 MLS
Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders
3:1
Sep 21, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Austin FC
2:0
Jul 14, 2024 MLS
Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Austin FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uzuni M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Seattle Sounders Compare

Top Goalscorer Rothrock P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC 10 / 100
Seattle Sounders 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin FC Seattle Sounders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seattle Sounders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seattle Sounders let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Austin FC found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Austin FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Austin FC VS Seattle Sounders
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Austin FC

(Home)
11 Oct
Austin FC
1 : 4
Nashville SC
27 Sept
Austin FC
3 : 3
San Diego FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0
Austin FC
13 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
1 : 2
Austin FC
10 Sept
Austin FC
1 : 1
Colorado Rapids
Page 1 of 6

Seattle Sounders

(Away)
10 Oct
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Seattle Sounders
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 28 14 8 6 54:38 50
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 29 9 9 11 39:50 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)